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The Republic · seat vs market

The seat.
And the market.

In 21 of Nigeria's 37 jurisdictions — 57% — the city that holds the government is not the city that holds the money. That gap is where most state-level infrastructure fights start.

21 states where seat ≠ market16 states where they are the same city11 of the splits were created after 1991Umuahia governs · Aba tradesAsaba governs · Warri tradesIkeja governs · the Island trades21 states where seat ≠ market16 states where they are the same city11 of the splits were created after 1991Umuahia governs · Aba tradesAsaba governs · Warri tradesIkeja governs · the Island trades21 states where seat ≠ market16 states where they are the same city11 of the splits were created after 1991Umuahia governs · Aba tradesAsaba governs · Warri tradesIkeja governs · the Island trades
01 — The pattern

Capitals were chosen to be neutral, not to be rich.

States creating a new capital after 1991 usually picked a small town without an incumbent commercial elite.

Split states
21
57% of the federation
Unified
16
Capital is also the market
Post-1991 splits
11
New capitals, old markets
Jurisdictions
37
36 states + FCT
02 — Six cases

Where the split has a cost.

Abia
Aba

Seat: Umuahia

commercial centre

Aba is the largest manufacturing cluster in the South East and the state's tax base; Umuahia was chosen in 1991 as a neutral administrative seat. Aba's roads have been a campaign issue in every cycle since.

Delta
Warri

Seat: Asaba

commercial centre

Warri is the oil, port and refinery city — and the site of the most sustained inter-ethnic contest in the Delta. Asaba, across the Niger, was picked in 1991 precisely because it is not Warri.

Jigawa
Hadejia

Seat: Dutse

commercial centre

Dutse was a small town when it was made a capital in 1991. Hadejia, an old emirate and the trading centre of the Hadejia–Jama'are floodplain, kept the market and lost the secretariat.

Kogi
Okene

Seat: Lokoja

commercial centre

Lokoja carries the confluence and the colonial administrative memory; Okene carries Ebira commerce and population. The split maps onto the state's three-way Igala–Ebira–Okun politics.

Lagos
Lagos Island

Seat: Ikeja

commercial centre

The secretariat moved to Ikeja in 1976 but the money never left the Island and the Lekki corridor. Lagos is the clearest case of a capital that is administratively real and commercially secondary.

Niger
Suleja

Seat: Minna

commercial centre

Suleja sits on Abuja's edge and absorbs its overflow economy; Minna, 100km away, holds the government. Niger State's fastest-growing city answers to a capital it barely trades with.

03 — By zone

The South splits more often than the North.

North Central
4/7
states with a split seat and market
North East
4/6
states with a split seat and market
North West
4/7
states with a split seat and market
South East
3/5
states with a split seat and market
South South
2/6
states with a split seat and market
South West
4/6
states with a split seat and market
04 — The register

Every capital, every market.

StateCapitalCommercial centreOutput ₦tn
AbiaUmuahiaAba3.53
AdamawaYolaMubi2.66
Akwa IbomUyoEket7.77
AnambraAwkaOnitsha5.14
BauchiBauchiAzare2.63
BayelsaYenagoaYenagoa (same)4.63
BenueMakurdiOtukpo4.27
BornoMaiduguriMaiduguri (same)1.96
Cross RiverCalabarCalabar (same)4.07
DeltaAsabaWarri6.19
EbonyiAbakalikiAbakaliki (same)2.24
EdoBenin CityBenin City (same)3.99
EkitiAdo-EkitiAdo-Ekiti (same)2.35
EnuguEnuguNsukka1.45
FCTAbujaAbuja (same)—
GombeGombeGombe (same)2.10
ImoOwerriOwerri (same)7.68
JigawaDutseHadejia2.16
KadunaKadunaZaria4.31
KanoKanoKano (same)4.20
KatsinaKatsinaFuntua3.32
KebbiBirnin KebbiArgungu1.80
KogiLokojaOkene3.69
KwaraIlorinIlorin (same)1.38
LagosIkejaLagos Island41.17
NasarawaLafiaKaru1.86
NigerMinnaSuleja4.58
OgunAbeokutaSagamu5.03
OndoAkureOre5.10
OsunOsogboIlesa2.30
OyoIbadanIbadan (same)3.68
PlateauJosJos (same)1.50
RiversPort HarcourtPort Harcourt (same)7.96
SokotoSokotoSokoto (same)2.85
TarabaJalingoWukari2.04
YobeDamaturuPotiskum1.09
ZamfaraGusauGusau (same)1.73