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The Republic · state economies

One state, 25% of the output.

Lagos produces ₦41.2 trillion a year — 5.2 times Rivers, the next state down, and more than the bottom twenty states put together. The federation shares revenue evenly. It does not produce evenly.

National output ₦164tnLagos 25.0% of it8 states = half the economyPer-head gap ×9.8South 70% · North 30%National output ₦164tnLagos 25.0% of it8 states = half the economyPer-head gap ×9.8South 70% · North 30%National output ₦164tnLagos 25.0% of it8 states = half the economyPer-head gap ×9.8South 70% · North 30%
01 — The headline

Concentration, not federation.

Thirty-six states and a capital territory, ranked by what they actually produce. The distribution is not a curve — it is a cliff.

National output
₦164tn
Sum of all state estimates, 2021
Lagos share
25.0%
×5.2 the next state
States = half
0
Number needed to reach 50% of output
Per-head gap
×9.8
Lagos against Kano
02 — The extremes

Top and bottom.

Largest economy
₦41.2tn

Lagos

South West · Ikeja · $6,614 per head

Lagos alone accounts for 25.0% of measured national output on the smallest land area of any state.

Smallest economy
₦1.09tn

Yobe

North East · Damaturu · $688 per head

Ranked 36 of 36. It would take 38 of it to make one Lagos.

Richest per head
$6,614

Lagos

South West · total ₦41.17tn

Per head is where oil states overtake commercial ones: a small population divided into a large extractive output.

Poorest per head
$674

Kano

North West · total ₦4.20tn

A kano resident's share of output is 9.8 times smaller than a lagos resident's.

03 — Ranked

Choose the measurement.

Total output, dollars, purchasing power or per head — the ranking changes completely depending on which one you pick, and each answers a different question.

Total output · ₦tn — Total output in trillions of naira, 2021 estimate.

LagosSouth West · Ikeja₦41.17tnoutlier
RiversSouth South · Port Harcourt₦7.96tn
Akwa IbomSouth South · Uyo₦7.77tn
ImoSouth East · Owerri₦7.68tn
DeltaSouth South · Asaba₦6.19tn
AnambraSouth East · Awka₦5.14tn
OndoSouth West · Akure₦5.10tn
OgunSouth West · Abeokuta₦5.03tn
BayelsaSouth South · Yenagoa₦4.63tn
NigerNorth Central · Minna₦4.58tn
KadunaNorth West · Kaduna₦4.31tn
BenueNorth Central · Makurdi₦4.27tn
KanoNorth West · Kano₦4.20tn
Cross RiverSouth South · Calabar₦4.07tn
EdoSouth South · Benin City₦3.99tn
KogiNorth Central · Lokoja₦3.69tn
OyoSouth West · Ibadan₦3.68tn
AbiaSouth East · Umuahia₦3.53tn
KatsinaNorth West · Katsina₦3.32tn
SokotoNorth West · Sokoto₦2.85tn
AdamawaNorth East · Yola₦2.66tn
BauchiNorth East · Bauchi₦2.63tn
EkitiSouth West · Ado-Ekiti₦2.35tn
OsunSouth West · Osogbo₦2.30tn
EbonyiSouth East · Abakaliki₦2.24tn
JigawaNorth West · Dutse₦2.16tn
GombeNorth East · Gombe₦2.10tn
TarabaNorth East · Jalingo₦2.04tn
BornoNorth East · Maiduguri₦1.96tn
NasarawaNorth Central · Lafia₦1.86tn
KebbiNorth West · Birnin Kebbi₦1.80tn
ZamfaraNorth West · Gusau₦1.73tn
PlateauNorth Central · Jos₦1.50tn
EnuguSouth East · Enugu₦1.45tn
KwaraNorth Central · Ilorin₦1.38tn
YobeNorth East · Damaturu₦1.09tn
04 — By zone

Six zones, two economies.

Aggregate output by geopolitical zone. The South produces the majority of it; the North holds the majority of the land and, on most projections, the population.

South West6 states · 36.3% of output₦59.6tn
South South6 states · 21.1% of output₦34.6tn
North West7 states · 12.4% of output₦20.4tn
South East5 states · 12.2% of output₦20.0tn
North Central6 states · 10.5% of output₦17.3tn
North East6 states · 7.6% of output₦12.5tn

Remove Lagos from the South West and the zone drops below every southern neighbour — the region's lead is one city's lead, not a regional pattern.

StateTotal rankPer-head rankMove$ per head
LagosSouth West11—$6,614
BayelsaSouth South92▲ 7$4,355
ImoSouth East43▲ 1$2,996
Akwa IbomSouth South34▼ 1$2,962
OndoSouth West75▲ 2$2,326
DeltaSouth South56▼ 1$2,306
RiversSouth South27▼ 5$2,277
Cross RiverSouth South148▲ 6$2,255
AbiaSouth East189▲ 9$2,048
EdoSouth South1510▲ 5$2,038
OgunSouth West811▼ 3$2,024
AnambraSouth East612▼ 6$2,002
KogiNorth Central1613▲ 3$1,758
NigerNorth Central1014▼ 4$1,721
EbonyiSouth East2515▲ 10$1,675
BenueNorth Central1216▼ 4$1,585
NasarawaNorth Central3017▲ 13$1,569
EkitiSouth West2318▲ 5$1,523
TarabaNorth East2819▲ 9$1,424
GombeNorth East2720▲ 7$1,360
AdamawaNorth East2121—$1,341
SokotoNorth West2022▼ 2$1,215
KadunaNorth West1123▼ 12$1,112
OsunSouth West2424—$1,030
OyoSouth West1725▼ 8$980
KwaraNorth Central3526▲ 9$919
KatsinaNorth West1927▼ 8$903
KebbiNorth West3128▲ 3$860
BauchiNorth East2229▼ 7$840
ZamfaraNorth West3230▲ 2$807
JigawaNorth West2631▼ 5$794
PlateauNorth Central3332▲ 1$771
BornoNorth East2933▼ 4$698
EnuguSouth East3434—$690
YobeNorth East3635▲ 1$688
KanoNorth West1336▼ 23$674
06 — Method

What these numbers are — and are not.

These are output estimates for 2021 — the value of what happens inside a state's borders. They are not internally generated revenue, and they are not federation-account allocation. A state can host a large economy and collect very little of it: oil output is booked where the barrel is lifted, corporate profit is often booked in Lagos.

Naira, dollar and purchasing-power columns are the same underlying estimate converted three ways. Per-head figures divide output by the 2006 census population, the last count with legal status and a published per-state breakdown; because that count is twenty years old, treat per-head numbers as a ranking device rather than a household figure. Every ranking on this page is computed from the table, so any row can be re-derived.